No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $20.85
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $9.15
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $2.35
Polymarket Trader
accountant18
0xd2bbc6edc2739467a988984fa5c8d7537e26d53f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $73.45
- Realized PnL
- $2.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $6.65
- Potential payout
- $25.09
- Potential profit
- $18.44
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $4.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 39°C or higher on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $25.09
- Potential profit
- $25.07
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $25.09
- Potential profit
- $24.74
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $25.09
- Potential profit
- $25.05
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $25.09
- Potential profit
- $24.98
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $25.09
- Potential profit
- $24.35
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $23.98
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $23.96
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $9.24
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $14.76
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $7.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $19.08
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $2.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $22.92
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $23.82
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $23.93
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $23.96
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $6.12
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $17.88
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $3.94
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $14.69
- Potential payout
- $21.76
- Potential profit
- $7.07
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $20.09
- Potential profit
- $18.8
- Multiplier
- 15.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $6.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.7
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $4.48
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.94
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.93
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.5
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.95
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C or below on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.97
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $105.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 18?Yes 0.1% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 18?Yes 0.1% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 18?Yes 0.1% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 18?Yes 0.1% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 18?Yes 0.4% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 18?Yes 4% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 19?Yes 0.1% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 19?Yes 0.1% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 47°F or below on May 19?Yes 0.1% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 19?Yes 0.1% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 19?Yes 99.1% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on May 19?Yes 0.1% 5 shares