No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $905
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
arianert
0xd2c139408adda19c8d3329053f008826853fbf4c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.18K
- Realized PnL
- $197.27
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $278.89
- Potential payout
- $281
- Potential profit
- $2.11
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.75
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.73
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.56
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.22
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.04
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.86
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.27
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on October 24?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
No position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.61
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
No position
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 99.2% 281 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No 92% 1,000 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 99.7% 1,016.34 shares
- Xi Jinping out by June 30?No 99.7% 157 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.8% 150 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 98.7% 155.95 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 98.5% 249.8 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98% 248 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 97.9% 954.2 shares
- Xi Jinping out by June 30?No 98.3% 1,192 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No 99.4% 1,173.44 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 96.5% 1,206.2 shares