marinelepin

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.95
Potential profit: $153.95
User PnL: -$5.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on May 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.1
Potential profit: $131.1
User PnL: -$5.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.61
Potential profit: $127.61
User PnL: -$5.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.45
Potential profit: $127.45
User PnL: -$5.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.98
Potential profit: $116.98
User PnL: -$5.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.15
Potential profit: $109.15
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.36
Potential profit: $102.36
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.27
Potential profit: $101.27
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.99
Potential profit: $97.99
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.1
Potential profit: $88.1
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85
Potential profit: $85
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.92
Potential profit: $78.92
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.01
Potential profit: $78.01
User PnL: -$5.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.64
Potential profit: $77.64
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.27
Potential profit: $77.27
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.5
Potential profit: $73.5
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.39
Potential profit: $73.39
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.86
Potential profit: $72.86
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.43
Potential profit: $72.43
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.78
Potential profit: $71.78
User PnL: -$5.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.83
Potential profit: $70.83
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.57
Potential profit: $69.57
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.74
Potential profit: $64.74
User PnL: -$5.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.64

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.86

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.23

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.45

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $17.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.54

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.46

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 7?