Polymarket Trader

Max13

0xd2c9ce3992a05fb0dbd7b4c2d392723f7b506dcb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $107.77
Realized PnL: $6.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $9.17
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.66K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$190.83

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $22.49
Potential payout: $651.97
Potential profit: $629.48
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$77.51

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $63.69
Potential payout: $579.02
Potential profit: $515.33
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$186.31

No position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $513.39
Potential profit: $513.39
User PnL: -$211

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $444.67
Potential profit: $444.67
User PnL: -$71.18

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $12.42
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $154.25
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: -$37.58

Yes position

Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.42
Potential profit: $70.42
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.54
Potential profit: $40.54
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

Yes position

Will Usyk beat Fury?

Ends Dec 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $447.11

Yes position

Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $361.19

No position

Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.46

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.62

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.6

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,500 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.03

No position

Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.6

Yes position

Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.92

No position

Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.27

Yes position

Ripple above $1.69 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.65

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,400 on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.63

Yes position

Doge ETF approved in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Yes position

Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.83

Yes position

Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 18?

Ends Oct 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.59

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,400 on October 18?

Ends Oct 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.67

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,000 on November 22?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27?

Ends Sep 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.83

Yes position

Ripple above $1.46 on November 29?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,400 on September 20?

Ends Sep 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.94

Usyk position

Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Dogecoin above $0.30 on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.43

Yes position

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 30% 166.67 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 49.7% 100.54 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 49.3% 202.93 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 36.3% 275.55 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 15.3% 651.97 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Yes 12% 1,666.67 shares
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Usyk 92% 108.7 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Yes 7.6% 2,992.93 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 0.5% 1,000 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Yes 2.2% 10,608.77 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Yes 9% 10,608.78 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Yes 1.7% 56,543.32 shares