Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
Polymarket Trader
osmbin
0xd2cb13930b298552ef8b268399f19788c0b83fbc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $8.14
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Chiefs position
Chiefs vs. Panthers
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Another Trump x Musk space before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Israel military action against Iran in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Chiefs position
Chiefs vs. Panthers
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Another Trump x Musk space before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Israel military action against Iran in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Maduro out before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 18?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will a Republican win Colorado Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Fed rate cut by November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Trump position
Trump vs. Boden: First to 1B
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Washington Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will a Republican win Kentucky Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 92.4% 15.18 shares
- Will Eric Adams drop out?No 35% 3.74 shares
- Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Yes 92.6% 19.1 shares
- South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?No 4.7% 30.59 shares
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Yes 52.9% 29.45 shares
- Trump vs. Boden: First to 1BTrump 52% 4.83 shares
- Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?No 1.3% 4.62 shares
- Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight NightBitboy 60% 14.32 shares
- Chiefs vs. PanthersChiefs 85% 7.89 shares
- Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?Yes 97.2% 6.14 shares
- Trump wins every swing state?Yes 35% 6.14 shares
- Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.9% 6.84 shares