Polymarket Trader

0xd2Cee7A363A2bC6E551fA7e9CAc1b5E3CBB38925-1777129256701

0xd2cee7a363a2bc6e551fa7e9cac1b5e3cbb38925

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.29
Realized PnL: $43.52
Win rate: 61.9%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.79
Potential profit: $89.79
User PnL: -$2.92

Yes position

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $3.97
Potential payout: $59.7
Potential profit: $55.73
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.75
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $49.76
Potential profit: $48.56
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$0.81

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.88
Potential profit: $46.88
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.79
Potential profit: $36.79
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.78
Potential profit: $33.78
User PnL: -$5

No position

Starmer out by June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $26.71
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $5.84
Potential payout: $15.2
Potential profit: $9.35
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $12.57
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$2.87

Norway position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.99
Potential profit: $13.99
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $3.18
Potential profit: $2.36
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$0.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.52

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.94

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $7.67

Yes position

Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Free World" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88

Yes position

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.32

No position

Will Trump dance today?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 1.2%?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Norway 35.7% 13.99 shares
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Yes 6.7% 44.78 shares
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 34% 14.71 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?

Yes 4% 49.76 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 3.6% 27.78 shares
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Yes 6.7% 14.93 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 53% 33.33 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 30% 16.67 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 30% 16.67 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 10% 50 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.9% 15.2 shares
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?

No 17% 29.41 shares