Yes position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.09K
- Potential profit
- $5.09K
- User PnL
- -$178.79
Polymarket Trader
FatherSena
0xd2df0adc7f018ce6460e8d6075cad7d54be7b572
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.01
- Realized PnL
- $850.85
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.46K
- Potential profit
- $3.46K
- User PnL
- -$13.84
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.2K
- User PnL
- -$29.34
Yes position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$214.23
Yes position
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- User PnL
- -$20.49
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $2.02K
- User PnL
- -$34.97
Yes position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$277.6
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $10.2
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.8
No position
Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$16
No position
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $809.06
- Potential profit
- $809.06
- User PnL
- -$3.24
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $655
- Potential profit
- $655
- User PnL
- -$72.3
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $579.99
- Potential profit
- $579.99
- User PnL
- -$13.08
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $575
- Potential profit
- $575
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $388.22
- Potential profit
- $388.22
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $331
- Potential profit
- $331
- User PnL
- -$9.82
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $9.81
- Potential payout
- $302
- Potential profit
- $292.18
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$22.18
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$11.3
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $273.67
- Potential profit
- $273.67
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $256.33
- Potential profit
- $256.33
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249.99
- Potential profit
- $249.99
- User PnL
- -$5.25
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249.97
- Potential profit
- $249.97
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230.77
- Potential profit
- $230.77
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $469.69
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.29
FaZe position
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.54
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.3
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.85
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.42
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will André Ventura win between 24% and 26% of votes in the first round?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.84
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $14.67
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.04
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 December 8-14?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.9
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.36
No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $11.57
No position
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.96
No position
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Yes position
No US strike on Syria in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.23
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56
Yes position
Will André Ventura win more than 26% of votes in the first round?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.98
No position
Brown University shooter arrested by December 19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No 66% 33.33 shares
- Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 66.3% 25 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No 0.9% 500 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No 14% 200 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.2% 143.65 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.2% 217.66 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.1% 235 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.3% 324 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 17% 36 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?No 1.2% 130 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?No 1.1% 297.87 shares