Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $14.22
- Potential payout
- $631.82
- Potential profit
- $617.6
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.78
Polymarket Trader
rbkl
0xd2df8a063138ac53728f6c7b5c8b33dc80d273e0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $153.98
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $39.21
- Potential payout
- $478.21
- Potential profit
- $438.99
- Multiplier
- 12.20x
- User PnL
- $20.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $8.04
- Potential payout
- $259.27
- Potential profit
- $251.24
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C or below on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $110.62
- Potential profit
- $110.34
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $4.51
- Potential payout
- $95.98
- Potential profit
- $91.47
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $10.81
- Potential payout
- $42.38
- Potential profit
- $31.57
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $4.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $23.33
- Potential payout
- $35.09
- Potential profit
- $11.75
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $4.24
- Potential payout
- $31.41
- Potential profit
- $27.17
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Y
Yes position
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $9.05
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $17.97
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.96
- Potential payout
- $26.07
- Potential profit
- $24.11
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$8.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $21.43
- Potential profit
- $21.34
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $18.96
- Potential profit
- $14.32
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $10.53
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $4.62
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $8.73
- Potential payout
- $12.66
- Potential profit
- $3.93
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $7.86
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $11.06
- Potential profit
- $10.42
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $5.05
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $5.59
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.62
- Potential profit
- $8.62
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.49
- Multiplier
- 14.93x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.54
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $3.89
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $2.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.27
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 1?Yes 5.2% 95.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 1?Yes 17.6% 28.46 shares
- Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?Yes 37% 27.03 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 57% 35.09 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 66% 15.15 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by July 31, 2026?No 9% 11.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 2?Yes 9.6% 52.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on July 2?Yes 3.6% 274.64 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 1?Yes 14% 35.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 1?Yes 2.1% 240.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 2?Yes 8.9% 56.32 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No 79% 12.66 shares