Polymarket Trader

DoesntMatter

0xd2e30abe87bf34b6a7d4ccbc6e877dbea6c43387

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $32.87
Realized PnL: $36.26
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 11.7%
Current value: $23.98
Potential payout: $204.95
Potential profit: $180.97
Multiplier: 8.55x
User PnL: $3.61

Yes position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.04
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $4.14
Potential payout: $16.26
Potential profit: $12.12
Multiplier: 3.93x
User PnL: $2.14

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.69
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $1.95
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $0.83
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.42
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.12
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.25

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

Gold position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.29

Yes position

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

No position

Will Trump Media acquire a crypto exchange in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Cardano ETF in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 3-9?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.15

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: Nuclear Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Pepe ETF in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Diddy released from custody before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 16.4% 28.16 shares
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

Yes 43% 2.33 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 59% 3.66 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 33.5% 10.41 shares
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

No 70% 1.63 shares
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic 67% 2.74 shares
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

Yes 98.2% 2.38 shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Yes 14% 4.76 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes 6.2% 9.52 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 9.4% 19.39 shares
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Yes 49% 6.66 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 84% 1.54 shares