Polymarket Trader

0x8c0e1c1b7ca56cbf74b88de1c07e0a7216ee90b6

0xd2e53ca15f36c15a28a60ba4ae50c5346683925f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $203.38
Realized PnL: $1.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump not sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill by November 29?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $903.29
Potential profit: $903.29
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $892.86
Potential profit: $892.86
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $851.06
Potential profit: $851.06
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $535.79
Potential profit: $535.79
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $23.04
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $334.11
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$6.96

Yes position

Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $354.97
Potential profit: $354.97
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $30.64
Potential payout: $304.88
Potential profit: $274.24
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$19.36

Yes position

Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260.33
Potential profit: $260.33
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 14?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.72
Potential profit: $259.72
User PnL: -$18

No position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $142.32
Potential payout: $233.3
Potential profit: $90.99
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $65.2

Yes position

Will Xander Schauffele win The 2025 Masters?

Ends Apr 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.39
Potential profit: $214.39
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.43
Potential profit: $209.43
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $206.76
Potential profit: $206.76
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $184.45
Potential profit: $184.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will there be less than 5 inches of snow in D.C. this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.04
Potential profit: $176.04
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Kraken IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.57
Potential profit: $154.57
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.79
Potential profit: $118.79
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.34
Potential profit: $118.34
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.74
Potential profit: $116.74
User PnL: -$2.68

Yes position

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $7.38
Potential payout: $115.38
Potential profit: $108
Multiplier: 15.63x
User PnL: -$22.62

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Masters?

Ends Apr 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $111
User PnL: -$19.98

Yes position

Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.9
Potential profit: $97.9
User PnL: -$22.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.95

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.66

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.51

Yes position

Will there be 5-7 inches of snow in D.C. this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.39

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.92

Yes position

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.32

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.77

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.22

Yes position

Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.22

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Fauci?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.97

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.4

No position

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.24

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.63

No position

Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.03

No position

Will there be 7-9 inches of snow in D.C. this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.19

Yes position

Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.4

No position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.2

Bills position

Ravens vs. Bills

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

Yes position

Will there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.79

Ohio State position

Texas vs. Ohio State

Ends Sep 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.74

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Dolphins

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.61

No position

Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.2

Eagles position

Eagles vs. Chiefs

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.04

Vance position

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Ends Oct 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.7% 48.38 shares
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 31% 48.39 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.7% 851.06 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.4% 357.14 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 892.86 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.4% 304.88 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

No 36.9% 46.37 shares
Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Yes 56% 50 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

No 40% 25 shares
Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Yes 48.1% 10.4 shares
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 22% 45.45 shares
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 23% 65.22 shares