No position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.6
- Potential profit
- $45.6
- User PnL
- -$43.32
Polymarket Trader
0xd2ec...bb1c
0xd2ecab7af7a6c4c40528140fd2d20ca499debb1c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $34.07
- Realized PnL
- $77.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$30.6
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.01
- Potential profit
- $22.01
- User PnL
- -$19.59
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $20.04
- Potential payout
- $21.2
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $14.02
- Potential payout
- $20.18
- Potential profit
- $6.16
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$3.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
No position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.17
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
Claude 4.7 released by April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Malta position
T20 Series Malta vs Gibraltar: Malta vs Gibraltar
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Bangladesh position
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
Yes position
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21
No position
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will England win?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
Yes position
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92
No position
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 1-7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Yes position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Will "In the Grey" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
Yes position
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 99.9% 19.98 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 99.2% 19.18 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 97% 19.86 shares
- Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 99.9% 21.6 shares
- Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 99.9% 21.83 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?No 99.8% 21.37 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 55% 10 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes 99.9% 22.43 shares
- Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No 99.9% 19.89 shares
- Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?No 99.4% 21.94 shares
- ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs AustraliaBangladesh 99.9% 21.64 shares
- ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs AustraliaBangladesh 85% 21.64 shares