No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$60
Polymarket Trader
Adbch
0xd2fa148101361576c63aecd331ee745e681661a7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.2
- Realized PnL
- $2.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $141.04
- Potential profit
- $141.04
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.53
- Potential profit
- $113.53
- User PnL
- -$23.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.64
- Potential profit
- $93.64
- User PnL
- -$6.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.36
- Potential profit
- $69.36
- User PnL
- -$22.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.5
- Potential profit
- $51.5
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.5
- Potential profit
- $51.5
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.5
- Potential profit
- $51.5
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.5
- Potential profit
- $51.5
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.49
- Potential profit
- $51.49
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.44
- Potential profit
- $51.44
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $39
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $39
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $39
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $39
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $39
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $39
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $38.81
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $39
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.99
- Potential profit
- $38.99
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.05
- Potential profit
- $12.05
- User PnL
- -$8.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $11.9
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $11.76
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETUp 62% 6.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETDown 40% 6.3 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETDown 8% 20.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETDown 57% 6.16 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETDown 44% 6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETDown 28% 7.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETUp 41% 6.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETUp 68% 6.9 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETUp 36% 6.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETUp 36% 6.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETUp 36% 6.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETUp 39% 6.3 shares