Polymarket Trader

0xd2fa...d59f

0xd2faa921cd38c9798fe3fa621b9120b42cdcd59f

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $54.06
Realized PnL: $8.62
Win rate: 43.8%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $5.31
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $7.19
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $5.41
Potential payout: $9.25
Potential profit: $3.84
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $4.86
Potential payout: $9.16
Potential profit: $4.31
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $4.14
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $4.86
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $8.2
Potential profit: $3.44
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $4.71
Potential payout: $8.13
Potential profit: $3.41
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $3.48
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $4.52
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $300 Week of July 6 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $7.78
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.42

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $7.45
Potential payout: $7.62
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $6.08
Potential profit: $4.9
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $4.71
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3.05
Potential profit: $1.56
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $2.19
Potential payout: $2.53
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 NBA Finals be by 30 or more points?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.84

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.32

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.36

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Job" 15+ times during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.23

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Yes 22% 6 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Yes 62% 8.13 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 31.9% 7.27 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

No 65% 7.62 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

No 71.1% 7.09 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

No 48% 9.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 33% 7 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 22.9% 6.03 shares
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $300 Week of July 6 2026?

No 42% 8 shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 44% 8 shares
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Yes 49% 9 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 1.3% 384.62 shares