Polymarket Trader

HalcyonTime

0xd2fc6b174da1f6f8b8400636475cbe3034da5bd4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $186.03
Realized PnL: $1.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.21K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $496.7
Potential profit: $496.7
User PnL: -$54.1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $352.88
Potential profit: $352.88
User PnL: -$97.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $86.78
Potential payout: $222.51
Potential profit: $135.73
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $11.95

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 9°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$3.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.72
Potential profit: $188.72
User PnL: -$79.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.01
Potential profit: $164.01
User PnL: -$63

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.46
Potential profit: $125.46
User PnL: -$30.7

Yes position

Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.14
Potential profit: $114.14
User PnL: -$29.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $71.57
Potential payout: $79.08
Potential profit: $7.51
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $21.76

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63
Potential profit: $63
User PnL: -$6.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.43
Potential profit: $54.43
User PnL: -$19.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $38
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.99
Potential profit: $31.99
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $26.57
Potential payout: $29.2
Potential profit: $2.63
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $6.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.83
Potential profit: $23.83
User PnL: -$5.59

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$9.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $16.95
User PnL: -$11.02

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$6.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$7.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.65
Potential profit: $11.65
User PnL: -$5.01

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 DR Congo?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $11.49
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.61

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.16

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.6

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.25

Yes position

Will Trump dance during White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.92

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.82

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?

Yes 34% 161.26 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?

Yes 32.7% 61.24 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?

Yes 18.1% 70.13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?

Yes 69% 28.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?

Yes 66.5% 30.09 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 18?

Yes 0.9% 2,216 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?

Yes 49% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?

Yes 41.7% 47.91 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 18?

Yes 1% 581.63 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?

Yes 45% 22.22 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?

Yes 45.8% 47.61 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 18?

Yes 14.7% 68.03 shares