Polymarket Trader

0xd309A013459bF9169CC5ba54b5f10f31aC932d4d-1769688802327

0xd309a013459bf9169cc5ba54b5f10f31ac932d4d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $270.62
Realized PnL: $425.85
Win rate: 81.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $2.17K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $108.67
Potential payout: $741.77
Potential profit: $633.1
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $88.67

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $65.63
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $559.38
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$34.38

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.58
Potential profit: $526.58
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.34
Potential profit: $454.34
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $5.27
Potential payout: $439.39
Potential profit: $434.12
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$44.73

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $8.06
Potential payout: $342.81
Potential profit: $334.76
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$9.77

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $19.38
Potential payout: $307.69
Potential profit: $288.31
Multiplier: 15.87x
User PnL: -$20.62

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.4%
Current value: $29.43
Potential payout: $220.47
Potential profit: $191.04
Multiplier: 7.49x
User PnL: $19.43

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.29
Potential profit: $214.29
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.97
Potential profit: $200.97
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $195.5
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$35.5

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $187.04
Potential profit: $184.98
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$7.94

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $10.71
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $132.14
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$9.29

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.44
Potential profit: $122.44
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

ECB rate cut in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $16.91
Potential payout: $93.94
Potential profit: $77.03
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$23.09

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.64
Potential profit: $92.64
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$20

Tundra Esports position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $60.61
User PnL: -$40

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.16

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.39

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.8

Tundra Esports position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.32

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffs

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.25

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.82

Ilbirs eSports position

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.93

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.63

Natus Vincere position

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Tundra Esports position

Dota 2: Heroic vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Yes 4.1% 122.44 shares
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Yes 10.8% 92.64 shares
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Yes 7% 214.29 shares
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Yes 15.4% 454.34 shares
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 32% 625 shares
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

Ilbirs eSports 48% 84.04 shares
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

Ilbirs eSports 35% 84.04 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

No 54% 544.92 shares
Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Yes 22% 45.45 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

No 50% 200 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

No 50% 200 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Yes 19% 263.16 shares