Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.8%
- Current value
- $135.08
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $18.77
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$4.92
Polymarket Trader
rusijd
0xd30cd3ce93c8cf2adffe7264ffa50d27ad6fac98
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $185.31
- Realized PnL
- $1.2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $34.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $15.75
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$5.75
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $15.99
- Potential payout
- $21.17
- Potential profit
- $5.19
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $543.08
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.96
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.13
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.38
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.84
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.3
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 310 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.84
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
No position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
Yes position
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 26, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 80% 50 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes 91% 153.85 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 47.6% 94.58 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 79.9% 2,754.54 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 75.8% 2,924.73 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes 92% 18.48 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 93% 2,924.73 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 98.3% 23.07 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 98.7% 2,740 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No 95% 10.51 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 95% 2,740 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 79% 2,586.08 shares