No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $892.5
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $139.29
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $92.5
Polymarket Trader
Lerix
0xd30dd9387fa206368283c436075b2f68a573acd8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $914.41
- Realized PnL
- -$1.09K
- Win rate
- 69.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $21.9
- Potential payout
- $292.03
- Potential profit
- $270.13
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$78.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.35K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $660.67
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $618.84
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.92
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.23
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.47
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.86
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.1
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.37
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$42.5
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$372.48
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$5.18K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 77.5% 1,031.8 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 34.2% 292.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 30% 2,998.72 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 55.4% 2,998.72 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 0.1% 888.42 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 1.5% 500 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 68.6% 2,409.93 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 1.3% 888.42 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 10% 500 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 71% 85 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 83.6% 2,494.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 16% 10,624.72 shares