Polymarket Trader

Jormungandr88

0xd312ee222979444109999573bfc5de95282d7236

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.78K
Realized PnL: $698.09
Win rate: 31.8%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.67K
Potential profit: $25.67K
User PnL: -$77

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.98K
Potential payout: $14.68K
Potential profit: $12.7K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$600.8

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $171.7
Potential payout: $7.63K
Potential profit: $7.46K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$108.29

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.58K
Potential profit: $2.58K
User PnL: -$1.49K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $478.94
Potential payout: $2.53K
Potential profit: $2.05K
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: $169.36

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$1.06K

No position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$410

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $11.62
Potential payout: $968.58
Potential profit: $956.95
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$36.81

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $6.21
Potential payout: $776.86
Potential profit: $770.64
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$93.79

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$427

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $63.33
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $603.33
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$36.67

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$396

Yes position

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$100

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $270
User PnL: -$135

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $9.59
Potential payout: $242.86
Potential profit: $233.26
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$10.41

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $4.28
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $195.71
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$63.72

Yes position

Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $52.55
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $49.49
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $2.55

Yes position

Will Trump say "State" 5+ times during Tele-Rally?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$51

Yes position

Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.77
Potential profit: $96.77
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$15.6

Yes position

Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $7.41
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $705.71

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $464.7

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $322.09

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $132.11

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during Tele-Rally?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.09

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $29.37

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0

Under position

United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Lautaro Martínez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.03

Under position

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.88

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$104.24

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$130

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$132.84

Under position

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

No position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$203.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.4% 444.7 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.2% 303.03 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.6% 1,111.11 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.8% 1,315.79 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.8% 423.73 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 750 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.9% 769.23 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.9% 256.41 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.8% 254.24 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 64% 46.88 shares
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 31% 96.77 shares
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 49% 102.04 shares