Polymarket Trader

nisnow

0xd318fcfb72347038439c3b828b4899abacc8a9b9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9
Realized PnL: $183.73
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $162.34
Potential profit: $159.98
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$1

Khamzat Chimaev position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.59
Potential profit: $36.59
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $35.23
Potential profit: $34.19
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.31
Potential profit: $31.31
User PnL: -$0.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $27.27
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.85
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.01
Potential profit: $21.01
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will "Understand" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.81
Potential profit: $17.81
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $17.54
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $12.38
Potential profit: $11.33
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $4.41
Potential payout: $11.6
Potential profit: $7.19
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.5
Potential profit: $11.5
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will "Europe" be said 10+ times during Eurovision?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.95
Potential profit: $4.95
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?

Ends Mar 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.43
Potential profit: $3.43
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $3.23
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.06

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.26

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.09

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.08

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.27

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.92

Yes position

Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.41

No position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.89

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,000 and $4,100 on October 27?

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.16

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.87

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.45

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.79

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Up 46% 2.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Up 42% 2.38 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 44% 4.55 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 54.3% 1.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Down 51% 2.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Down 43% 2.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Up 36% 3.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Up 28% 3.57 shares
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 5.6% 25.24 shares
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)

Nazim Sadykhov 62% 1.61 shares
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)

Rafael Fiziev 50% 2 shares
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)

Andre Lima 74% 1.66 shares