Polymarket Trader

elliottmoore

0xd31a79a3b8394c5620aa2025421940e9f5e45471

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $61.48
Realized PnL: $39.37
Win rate: 93.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.75
Potential profit: $222.75
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.04
Potential profit: $120.04
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62.3%
Current value: $46.36
Potential payout: $74.47
Potential profit: $28.11
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $11.36

Yes position

Will Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.62
Potential profit: $65.62
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.51
Potential profit: $58.51
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.35
Potential profit: $44.35
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.3
Potential profit: $43.3
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $3.19
Potential payout: $33.56
Potential profit: $30.37
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.34
Potential profit: $33.34
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.62
Potential profit: $25.62
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.52
Potential profit: $23.52
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $20.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 78.6%
Current value: $11.93
Potential payout: $15.19
Potential profit: $3.26
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.88
Potential profit: $14.88
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

No position

Will Trump announce a national housing emergency in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during September press conference?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Is Earth flat?

No 97.6% 10.25 shares
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 1.3% 76.92 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Yes 2.8% 35.71 shares
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Yes 4.9% 20.41 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Yes 20% 4.84 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?

Yes 11.2% 8.61 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?

Yes 0.8% 120.04 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Yes 2.3% 43.3 shares
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 6% 33.33 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 72.4% 15.19 shares