dirtyhands

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $4.44
Potential payout: $177.53
Potential profit: $173.09
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $115.33
Potential profit: $115.27
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108
Potential profit: $108
User PnL: -$7.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $95
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $89.86
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $77.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.05
Potential profit: $83.05
User PnL: -$2.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $7.31
Potential payout: $76.98
Potential profit: $69.67
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 96°F or higher on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.99
Potential profit: $69.99
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $10.95
Potential payout: $66.33
Potential profit: $55.39
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$2.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $3.98
Potential payout: $65.26
Potential profit: $61.28
Multiplier: 16.39x
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $59.99
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $57.28
Potential profit: $56.39
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $14.12
Potential payout: $54.29
Potential profit: $40.17
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $10.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.83
Potential profit: $46.83
User PnL: -$2.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.49
Potential profit: $45.49
User PnL: -$5.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$27.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.3
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 16?