Polymarket Trader

0xd34BEbBF1551FE5c49dAb6774AD61BfA1B9093a4-1767500115398

0xd34bebbf1551fe5c49dab6774ad61bfa1b9093a4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $148.95
Realized PnL: -$41.03
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.75K
Potential profit: $28.75K
User PnL: -$111.98

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $61.01
Potential payout: $4.69K
Potential profit: $4.63K
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$38.99

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $698.51
Potential profit: $698.51
User PnL: -$51

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $4.42
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $380.19
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.58

No position

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $302.03
Potential profit: $302.03
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $4.34
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $258.82
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $6.35
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $201.98
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $195.1
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $187.42
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $5.58
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $161.08
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $151.52
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.5
Potential profit: $143.5
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $17.58
Potential payout: $103.09
Potential profit: $85.52
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: -$2.42

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $78.29
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $9.42
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $67.5
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $4.67
Potential payout: $73.53
Potential profit: $68.86
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $69.44
Potential profit: $64.41
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $15.71
Potential payout: $54.17
Potential profit: $38.46
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $2.71

No position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.33
Potential profit: $53.33
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.88
Potential profit: $37.88
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.62
Potential profit: $18.62
User PnL: -$9.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.08

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Croatia position

Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$2.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$7.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.15

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$18.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Down 1% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Down 22% 14.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Down 34% 14.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Up 41% 12.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Up 48% 52.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Up 40% 62.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Up 66% 37.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Down 7% 71.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Down 6% 72.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Down 6.9% 72.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Down 2% 100 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

No 15% 53.33 shares