Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $6.23K
- Potential payout
- $356K
- Potential profit
- $349.77K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $890
Polymarket Trader
sdiff123
0xd352f30eed085d974d01430fc919b1702acd4ad6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.99K
- Realized PnL
- $172.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $235.61K
- Potential profit
- $235.61K
- User PnL
- -$18.27K
Yes position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.32K
- Potential profit
- $101.32K
- User PnL
- -$5.29K
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.2%
- Current value
- $12.92K
- Potential payout
- $85.28K
- Potential profit
- $72.36K
- Multiplier
- 6.60x
- User PnL
- $433.82
Yes position
U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.61K
- Potential profit
- $31.61K
- User PnL
- -$22.05K
Yes position
Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.7K
- Potential profit
- $29.7K
- User PnL
- -$286.45
Yes position
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.18K
- Potential profit
- $24.18K
- User PnL
- -$1.59K
Yes position
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$1.36K
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $19.84K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- $810.04
Yes position
Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.96K
- Potential profit
- $18.96K
- User PnL
- -$2.09K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.92K
- Potential profit
- $13.92K
- User PnL
- -$139.23
Yes position
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$2.62
Yes position
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$2.62
Yes position
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$2.62
Yes position
Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$2.62
Yes position
Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$2.62
Yes position
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$2.62
Yes position
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$900
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 2?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$398.13
No position
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.86K
- Potential profit
- $9.86K
- User PnL
- -$1.59K
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.03K
- Potential profit
- $8.03K
- User PnL
- -$2.5K
Yes position
Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.84K
- Potential profit
- $7.84K
- User PnL
- -$626.86
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- User PnL
- -$2.29K
Yes position
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$210
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.35K
Yes position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.3K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.49K
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12K
No position
Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.63K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.49K
Yes position
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $7.8K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.58K
Yes position
Will Harris lead by 0.6-1 points on August 16?
Ends Aug 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.36K
Yes position
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.99K
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.12K
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7K
Yes position
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 11-17?
Ends Mar 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54K
Yes position
Pavel Durov released in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5K
No position
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.39K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47K
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37K
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.28K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2K
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14K
Yes position
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.1K
No position
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14.7% 60,279.41 shares
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No 94% 5,950.83 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?No 41% 8,825.34 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?No 42% 3,825.34 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?No 42% 5,000 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Yes 32% 5,000 shares
- Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes 44% 595.06 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14.5% 6,925.11 shares
- Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?No 87% 5,000 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?No 15% 5,000 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?No 35% 5,000 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?No 99.3% 5,250.89 shares