Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $26.69
- Potential payout
- $87.52
- Potential profit
- $60.83
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $1.62
Polymarket Trader
0xd35d...ec11
0xd35dc29e5aada2a73249d67a6a104d9244c4ec11
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $199.91
- Realized PnL
- -$5.91
- Win rate
- 55.6%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $25.85
- Potential payout
- $50.19
- Potential profit
- $24.34
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $3.7
- Potential payout
- $43.52
- Potential profit
- $39.82
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$2.83
Yes position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $6.55
- Potential payout
- $39.69
- Potential profit
- $33.14
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$12.9
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.37
- Potential profit
- $37.37
- User PnL
- -$10.21
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $24.13
- Potential payout
- $34.23
- Potential profit
- $10.1
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $28.92
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $14.7
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.63
- Potential profit
- $29.63
- User PnL
- -$4.74
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2.25
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.44
- Potential profit
- $24.44
- User PnL
- -$8.62
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $23.04
- Potential profit
- $18.09
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$9.19
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.1%
- Current value
- $7.11
- Potential payout
- $19.2
- Potential profit
- $12.09
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $11.64
- Potential payout
- $11.79
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $9.23
- Potential payout
- $10.98
- Potential profit
- $1.76
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.3
N
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $8.97
- Potential payout
- $9.59
- Potential profit
- $0.62
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $8.58
- Potential profit
- $7.96
- Multiplier
- 13.89x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $8.53
- Potential profit
- $3.88
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $6.82
- Potential profit
- $5.97
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.31
N
No position
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 gross profit margin 70%+?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $5.26
- Potential payout
- $6.15
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $5.89
- Potential payout
- $6.03
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will "The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $5.58
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.77
N
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.50T on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $4.82
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $3.07
No position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.39
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 49% 17.46 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 99% 26.88 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 35% 10 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 93% 26.88 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 41% 18.39 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?Yes 61.4% 32.32 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No 95% 10 shares
- Will "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of June 27?Yes 32% 2.3 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 27% 14.94 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 85% 4.8 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 64% 11.25 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 64% 3.59 shares