Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $34.45
- Potential payout
- $38.07
- Potential profit
- $3.62
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.33
Polymarket Trader
hoshinoshitarina
0xd36486c14dd37bff188b7e3e110c2a0cfa342cb3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $60.64
- Realized PnL
- $18.7
- Win rate
- 77.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $26.18
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
No position
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 87% 38.07 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 92% 36.32 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 83.5% 17.47 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 28 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 97.9% 24.75 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 74.9% 18.85 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 93% 15.27 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 0.9% 10 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 77% 29.95 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 94% 24.75 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 10% 10 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 84% 10.72 shares