Polymarket Trader

Etanol

0xd399ba186f89721f79e0a72bfa6c9babd2e13f46

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.5K
Realized PnL: $9.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.2K
Potential payout: $481.19K
Potential profit: $479.98K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $240.59

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.97K
Potential payout: $303.26K
Potential profit: $301.28K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $25.17

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.29K
Potential payout: $198.24K
Potential profit: $196.95K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$289.43

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.92K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $706.95
Potential payout: $45.61K
Potential profit: $44.9K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $16.78

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $330
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.67K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$19.98

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $45
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.96K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.58
Potential payout: $5.16K
Potential profit: $5.15K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.58

Yes position

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.58
Potential payout: $5.15K
Potential profit: $5.15K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.58

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.58
Potential payout: $5.15K
Potential profit: $5.15K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.58

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.58
Potential payout: $5.15K
Potential profit: $5.15K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.58

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $496.44
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $54.52

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $21.11
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $113.15
Potential payout: $870.4
Potential profit: $757.25
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$11.12

No position

Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $577.95
Potential payout: $843.73
Potential profit: $265.77
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $72.7

Yes position

Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $54
Potential payout: $399.97
Potential profit: $345.98
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$81.99

No position

Will Neymar score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $372.87
Potential payout: $385
Potential profit: $12.13
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.09

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $148.31
Potential payout: $340.94
Potential profit: $192.63
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $23.77

No position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $118.49
Potential payout: $299.97
Potential profit: $181.48
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 85.2%
Current value: $218.45
Potential payout: $256.55
Potential profit: $38.1
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$3.46

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $14.43
Potential payout: $177.1
Potential profit: $162.67
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: $1.34

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $21.93
Potential payout: $162.42
Potential profit: $140.5
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $16.14
Potential payout: $119.56
Potential profit: $103.42
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $57.88
Potential payout: $104.29
Potential profit: $46.41
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$15.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $1.67K

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $976.57

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $900.46

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $625.03

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $565.45

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $494.23

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $396.61

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $358.95

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $286.71

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $274.14

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $253.88

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $211.86

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $153.91

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $150.91

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.01

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $90.99

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $87.23

Yes position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $85.65

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 January 26-1?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $81.5

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.75

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $61.39

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Yes 21% 6.28 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 2,343.17 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 6,265.76 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 3,375.37 shares
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 69% 11.23 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 61,325.2 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 151,975.86 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 5,871.89 shares
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 80% 173.49 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 58% 74.29 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.1% 12,789.26 shares
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 30% 63.78 shares