Polymarket Trader

werfrens

@werfrens

0xd3b2873d6e427c4925cdff50d775a1bbe663ee3e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $461.86
Realized PnL: $2.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Gujarat Titans position

Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.84K
User PnL: -$101

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$450

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $85.25
Potential payout: $516.67
Potential profit: $431.42
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $23.25

No position

Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $368.03
Potential payout: $391.31
Potential profit: $23.28
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $8.58
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $191.41
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: -$5.42

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $524.14

Yes position

Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.83

No position

Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.06

No position

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 71.5%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $146.94

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.06

Rajasthan Royals position

Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.36

Lucknow Super Giants position

Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giants

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.66

Yes position

Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.15

No position

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $105.8

No position

Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.8%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $69.88

No position

Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.73

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.38

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.27

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.24

No position

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.6%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $50.61

No position

Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.85

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.16

No position

Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.4

No position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $27.6

Punjab Kings position

Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.28

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.22

Gujarat Titans position

Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Riders

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.77

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 12% 416.67 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 27% 37.04 shares
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans

Gujarat Titans 23% 86.96 shares
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans

Gujarat Titans 43% 153.49 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 16% 312.5 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 26% 192.31 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 38% 131.58 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 38% 789.47 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 53% 566.04 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 52% 551.38 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 55% 90.91 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 58% 172.41 shares