Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $798
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Polymarket Trader
DopamineDream
0xd3bb28e8e536bfef0abac5df79c3746c05a1716b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.32
- Realized PnL
- $48.54
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $209.69
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.33
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $168.99
- Potential profit
- $168.99
- User PnL
- -$21.97
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.65
- Potential profit
- $54.65
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$23.5
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$6.3
Yes position
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $18.87
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hitler" during Georgia rally on October 28?
Ends Oct 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.67
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.08
No position
Israel military response against Iran by Sunday?
Ends Oct 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.97
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.32
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
S&P500 all time high after election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.53
Yes position
Will Kamala lead in RCP by 1.5-1.9 on Oct 11?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Yes position
Will Trump say "fascist" during Georgia rally on October 28?
Ends Oct 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
No position
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
No position
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Down position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Israel military response against Iran by Sunday?
Ends Oct 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Trump say "Biden" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?
Ends Oct 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump say "IQ" during Macon, GA rally?
Ends Nov 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump say "Elon" 3 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?
Ends Oct 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump say "Trans" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?
Ends Oct 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" during Georgia rally on October 28?
Ends Oct 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Kamala lead in RCP by 1-1.4 on Oct 11?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will Trump say "Peanut" or "Squirrel" during Macon, GA rally?
Ends Nov 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Another Iran strike on Israel in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Yes position
U.S. military action against Iran before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.16
No position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 2.9% 100 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes 18.3% 54.65 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?Yes 12% 166.67 shares
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?Yes 13% 21 shares
- Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?No 74% 6.76 shares
- Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Yes 53% 18.87 shares
- S&P500 all time high after election is called?Yes 19% 10.53 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes 26.2% 19.08 shares
- Will Trump say "Peanut" or "Squirrel" during Macon, GA rally?Yes 25% 6 shares
- Will Trump say "IQ" during Macon, GA rally?No 18% 5.56 shares
- Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" during Georgia rally on October 28?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Will Trump say "fascist" during Georgia rally on October 28?Yes 34% 8.82 shares