Polymarket Trader

wildhorse234

0xd3e366d3273ec69fd336ee5a1b8cd5e482eb7e36

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $365.53
Realized PnL: $96.53
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Sweden be the highest-scoring team in Group F during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 56.3%
Current value: $56.29
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $43.71
Multiplier: 1.78x
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $21.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $78.5
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $27.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $72.5
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $6.5

No position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $27.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $72.5
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $60
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $40
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $29

Yes position

Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $27.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $72.5
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $3.6
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.4
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$19.4

No position

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $41.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $58.5
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $13.5

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $85.99
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $14
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $11.87
Potential payout: $91.31
Potential profit: $79.44
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$0.91

No position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$22.4

Yes position

Will Australia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 8.9%
Current value: $2.28
Potential payout: $25.71
Potential profit: $23.43
Multiplier: 11.30x
User PnL: $0.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.28

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $18.2

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.58

No position

Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

No position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23% 100 shares
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 24% 100 shares
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 29% 100 shares
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 31% 100 shares
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 33% 100 shares
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 28% 9.61 shares
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 21% 100 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?

No 80% 5 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Yes 79.8% 100 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?

No 89% 63 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

No 32% 34.5 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

No 27% 65.5 shares