No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $20.61K
- Potential payout
- $40.02K
- Potential profit
- $19.41K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $842.68
Polymarket Trader
sabsabinxz
0xd3ecb2aee0d65622da559ff356b00e8c2e626603
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $68.77K
- Realized PnL
- $33.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $20.57K
- Potential payout
- $27.98K
- Potential profit
- $7.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $4.28K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $25.53K
- Potential payout
- $27.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.37K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $6.23K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $9K
- User PnL
- -$5.77K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- User PnL
- -$3.27K
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $11.64
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$391.49
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $291.81
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$78.97
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $780
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $520
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $26
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $360.71
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $784.41
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$164.15
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$271
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $197.65
- Potential payout
- $617.65
- Potential profit
- $420
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$97.25
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $85.01
- Potential payout
- $500.05
- Potential profit
- $415.04
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $5.01
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $109.56
- Potential payout
- $342.37
- Potential profit
- $232.81
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$90.24
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $6.45
- Potential payout
- $204.66
- Potential profit
- $198.21
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$17.17
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.2%
- Current value
- $141.5
- Potential payout
- $190.71
- Potential profit
- $49.2
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $41.5
Yes position
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $43.16
- Potential payout
- $141.51
- Potential profit
- $98.35
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$16.16
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $37.44
- Potential payout
- $129.12
- Potential profit
- $91.67
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$2.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.05K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84K
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $852.02
Yes position
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $821.58
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $592.02
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $568.51
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $398
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $396
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.55
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.09
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.96
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $122.62
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $99.85
Yes position
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.01
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.26
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.96
No position
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.92
No position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 89% 4,000 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 93% 1,022.97 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 94% 1,627.4 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 86% 2,893 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Yes 52.5% 26.77 shares
- Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?Yes 25% 286.46 shares
- Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?Yes 26.4% 1,039.67 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Yes 58.9% 106.11 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 44.2% 292 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 46.4% 853.12 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes 54.1% 620.23 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes 57.9% 615.08 shares