Polymarket Trader

lose-829

0xd3f3f8bc6c6f96054bc4272b266c7f7da1591202

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $301.2
Realized PnL: $191.57
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.2%
Current value: $68.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $131.7
Multiplier: 2.93x
User PnL: $36.1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$172.4

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $165
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $35
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $21.9
Potential payout: $178.79
Potential profit: $156.88
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$8.35

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $29.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $70.5
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$14.5

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $83.5
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$15.5

No position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $50.01
User PnL: -$0.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96

No position

Will Solana reach $190 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.44

No position

AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.75

No position

Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.42

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4200 in July?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79

Yes position

Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France 2025?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will Solana reach $250 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 6% 434.78 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.6% 300 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 23% 434.78 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 200 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 300 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 76% 200 shares
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Yes 11% 2.24 shares
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Yes 11% 2.24 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?

Yes 4.1% 50 shares
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1.5% and 2%?

Yes 30% 50 shares
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?

Yes 37% 50 shares
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 88% 50 shares