Polymarket Trader

lagerskoy

@lagerskoy

0xd3fe05d0229fe34dca2affb6d0c8b5870f43a403

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $877.18
Realized PnL: $1.55K
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $389.68
Potential payout: $5.06K
Potential profit: $4.67K
Multiplier: 12.99x
User PnL: -$1.08K

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $312.5
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.19K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$187.5

No position

Will Stable launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$65

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $175
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $825
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$325

Yes position

Will Team Spirit win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $591.12

No position

Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $443.99

Yes position

Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192

Yes position

Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.4

No position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46

Yes position

Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.93

Yes position

Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in October 2025?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.32

Yes position

Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 3+ times during Diwali Celebration events on October 21?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in October 2025?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in October 2025?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.13

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in October 2025?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.42

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Legacy position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO5)

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in October 2025?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "FCC" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.8

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

No 95.4% 718.29 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?

Yes 7% 36 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner

Team Falcons 24% 99.99 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

No 50% 100 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)

Aurora Gaming 99% 107.15 shares
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

No 99% 999.99 shares
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Yes 68% 700 shares
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Yes 66% 300 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Yes 61.8% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in October 2025?

Yes 10% 41.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in October 2025?

Yes 17% 304.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in October 2025?

Yes 19% 10 shares