Yes position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $702.81
- Potential profit
- $701.76
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$10.18
Polymarket Trader
betstaker
0xd3fe2e07253009268c3a6ba3507aa30a2cc82b28
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $137.29
- Realized PnL
- $42.31
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $31.96
- Potential payout
- $286.67
- Potential profit
- $254.7
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- -$61.24
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $210
- User PnL
- -$31.2
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $173.48
- Potential profit
- $173.48
- User PnL
- -$37.2
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.11
- Potential profit
- $148.11
- User PnL
- -$58.65
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.5
- Potential profit
- $142.5
- User PnL
- -$12.3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $103.52
- Potential payout
- $103.52
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.52
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $100.47
- Potential profit
- $99.71
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.54
- Potential profit
- $96.54
- User PnL
- -$21.67
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.83
- Potential profit
- $83.83
- User PnL
- -$44.56
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.25
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.04
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 2.1% 286.49 shares
- US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes 96.5% 2.64 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No 96% 31.53 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No 96% 50.76 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No 96% 2.97 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No 95% 52.63 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes 14% 30 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 8% 52.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 30% 166.67 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 10.7% 100.47 shares
- US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes 91.9% 5.04 shares
- US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes 93.3% 2.57 shares