Polymarket Trader

0xd4029c972bDd48F40fb81e976D55936414318C7B-1756647547952

0xd4029c972bdd48f40fb81e976d55936414318c7b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $62.1
Realized PnL: $212.41
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $35.25
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $264.75
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $139.36
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.7
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $89.68
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.34
Potential profit: $83.34
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $2.83
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $44.79
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.02
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $4.44
Potential payout: $35.4
Potential profit: $30.96
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $4.64
Potential payout: $34.01
Potential profit: $29.37
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.36

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 23.9%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $20.67
Potential profit: $15.74
Multiplier: 4.19x
User PnL: -$0.03

Over position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.51
Potential profit: $19.51
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.52
Potential profit: $4.52
User PnL: -$1.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will France win on 2026-06-04?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.04

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.78

Under position

Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.39

Yes position

Will DR Congo vs. Denmark end in a draw?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.43

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-05-31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.39

Yes position

Will Japan vs. Iceland end in a draw?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.89

No position

Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.75

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.67

No position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-05?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.87

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.76

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.2

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.03

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.82

Under position

Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.58

Yes position

World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: $3.7

Under position

Albania vs. Israel: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

Under position

Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $3.16

No position

Will Wales win on 2026-06-02?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Over position

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 25% 41.66 shares
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 5.6% 300 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 4.7% 200 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

No 25.6% 21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Up 19.3% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Up 20% 50 shares
Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score

No 91% 25 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 99.8% 22.47 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

No 41% 5 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

No 42% 9.52 shares
Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score

No 60% 25 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 89% 22.47 shares