Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $73.86
- Potential profit
- $73.71
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.45
Polymarket Trader
0xd40b...35cd
0xd40b00e7e089b1b5caf4f0005bc5a703c4f035cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $33.4
- Realized PnL
- -$9.51
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $13.79
- Potential payout
- $14.75
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $7.79
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.11
- Potential payout
- $10.12
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $4.11
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $3.37
- Potential profit
- $1.77
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.27
- Potential payout
- $3.27
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $2.42
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $2.18
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 16?Yes 52% 0.01 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 16?Yes 52% 0.04 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 16?Yes 52% 0.35 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 16?Yes 53% 3.77 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 15?No 91.7% 2.18 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?No 58% 3.45 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 15?Yes 45% 4.44 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 15?Yes 45% 4.44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 15?Yes 0.3% 8.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETDown 35% 14.29 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETDown 34% 14.71 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?No 60% 3.33 shares