Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $25.76
- Potential profit
- $25.58
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$5.27
Polymarket Trader
evrchanging
0xd40c464c68f591791224a6d47ed05a5b7cf97cd3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.14
- Realized PnL
- -$3.39
- Win rate
- 15.4%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $23.86
- Potential payout
- $23.9
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $21.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $19.66
- Potential profit
- $19.57
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C or higher on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 10?Yes 28% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 10?Yes 29% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 10?Yes 26% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 10?Yes 26% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 26?Yes 22% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 24?Yes 0.1% 1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 25?Yes 21% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 25?Yes 28% 5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?No 99.1% 5.33 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No 92% 5.28 shares