Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $42.45
- Potential payout
- $653.01
- Potential profit
- $610.56
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$87.53
Polymarket Trader
Iadore
0xd432a56abaf015157cb39228c5071fa25e8feba8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $55.65
- Realized PnL
- -$16.3
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $13.2
- Potential payout
- $352.13
- Potential profit
- $338.92
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.76
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.48
Pacers position
Thunder vs. Pacers
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.41
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.84
Yes position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.44
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.77
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.55
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.02
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 3.8% 221.84 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 9% 100.58 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 3.5% 130.28 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 22% 227.27 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 19% 526.32 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 38.6% 240.26 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 39.2% 102 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 36.2% 138.27 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 58% 261.66 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 7.6% 261.67 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes 8% 162.2 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes 30.8% 162.21 shares