Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $12.95
- Potential profit
- $11.85
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Polymarket Trader
asecrettrader
0xd43d8669e017b8e4166408c63c3e20b9c36ad101
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.94
- Realized PnL
- $49.33
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $9.07
- Potential payout
- $12.34
- Potential profit
- $3.27
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $4.07
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $6.92
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.07
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.41
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.41
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 1?No 72.8% 6.02 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 1?No 65% 7.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1?Yes 40.5% 12.34 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?Yes 38.6% 12.95 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 1?No 83% 6.02 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 30?No 99.8% 7.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 30?Yes 30% 8.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 30?Yes 53% 10.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 29?No 99.9% 6.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 30?Yes 29.4% 10.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 30?Yes 36% 8.33 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 30?No 68% 7.35 shares