No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65K
- Potential profit
- $65K
- User PnL
- -$229.97
Polymarket Trader
firebat
0xd43dd81540543c2450a68a641437244f1ad08a2a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $369.55
- Realized PnL
- $44.59K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $272.38
- Potential payout
- $34.05K
- Potential profit
- $33.78K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$968.49
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.07K
- Potential profit
- $26.07K
- User PnL
- -$217.56
No position
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.89K
- Potential profit
- $13.89K
- User PnL
- -$1.06K
No position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.69K
- Potential profit
- $13.69K
- User PnL
- -$1.07K
No position
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.04K
- Potential profit
- $8.04K
- User PnL
- -$400
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.04K
- Potential profit
- $6.04K
- User PnL
- -$171.58
No position
Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.18K
- Potential profit
- $4.18K
- User PnL
- -$261.17
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $3.1K
- User PnL
- -$113.49
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- User PnL
- -$47.46
No position
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $516.48
- Potential profit
- $516.48
- User PnL
- -$63.29
Yes position
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $48.75
- Potential payout
- $174.09
- Potential profit
- $125.34
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$46.37
Yes position
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by August 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $28.26
- Potential payout
- $78.5
- Potential profit
- $50.24
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$14.52
Yes position
Screwworm National Emergency declared by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $20.16
- Potential payout
- $42.01
- Potential profit
- $21.85
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $8.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.84K
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.77K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92K
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Ebola emergency by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $948.33
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $770
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.61
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $119.2
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $96.52
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $88.19
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $62.67
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.72
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.1
No position
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.77
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$84.35
No position
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$88.07
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$91.69
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$98.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 3.8% 2,275.89 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes 2% 97 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.1% 127,027.27 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes 1.4% 540 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes 1.3% 1,564.64 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.5% 8,720 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.5% 3,600 shares
- Screwworm National Emergency declared by June 30?Yes 9.7% 17.01 shares
- Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by August 30?Yes 35% 50 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 5.4% 844.07 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 7% 4,025 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 24.1% 419.83 shares