Yes position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $25.03
- Potential payout
- $143.03
- Potential profit
- $118
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Polymarket Trader
0xD450e6BFEa21d1262C285823DeCE5437E97E880C-1772313175174
0xd450e6bfea21d1262c285823dece5437e97e880c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.17
- Realized PnL
- -$16.46
- Win rate
- 27.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $53.87
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 33% 12.33 shares
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 16% 71.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETUp 64.9% 1.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETDown 99.1% 1.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETDown 73% 1.34 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETUp 64% 1.52 shares
- Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 0.5% 200 shares
- Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 0.8% 125 shares
- Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 1.8% 55.56 shares
- Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 1.2% 83.33 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 0.1% 500 shares