No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Current value
- $103.9
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $18.05
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $3.9
Polymarket Trader
MrJSelig
0xd451f9494b34460db642065dac7388da67008076
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $103.9
- Realized PnL
- -$545.05
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.82
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.91
No position
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$553.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 82% 121.95 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes 87% 100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No 96.3% 10 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Yes 3.7% 29.41 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Yes 17% 29.41 shares
- Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?No 62% 16.13 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No 85% 58.82 shares
- Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 6, 2026?No 18.1% 27.62 shares
- Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Yes 95.2% 105.04 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 0.1% 100,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 0.2% 50,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 0.3% 3,333.33 shares