Polymarket Trader

0xD45315612DA4A28EFeD426de3c1CFa1f4ce80C05-1775613606397

0xd45315612da4a28efed426de3c1cfa1f4ce80c05

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $400.84
Realized PnL: $313.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $175.41
Potential payout: $182.72
Potential profit: $7.31
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $41.67

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $92.23
Potential payout: $109.14
Potential profit: $16.92
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $14.03

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $53.23
Potential payout: $74.45
Potential profit: $21.22
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $2.89

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $41.8
Potential payout: $65.83
Potential profit: $24.03
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $0.77

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.21
Potential profit: $50.21
User PnL: -$16.57

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.95
Potential profit: $40.95
User PnL: -$16.38

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $22.13
Potential payout: $23.17
Potential profit: $1.04
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $2.9

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.17
Potential profit: $16.17
User PnL: -$11.32

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $5.68
Potential payout: $15.55
Potential profit: $9.88
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$1.01

No position

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $10.36
Potential payout: $12.41
Potential profit: $2.05
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.31

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.34

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.88

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $28.22

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.49

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.06

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.99

Yes position

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.31

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.82

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.35

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $7.96

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.71

Yes position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $7.13

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.11

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $6.67

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.82

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $5.26

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65

Yes position

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Coco Gauff position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 94.6% 76.85 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 60% 22.54 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 60.3% 22.4 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 71.3% 31.91 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 75.2% 15.75 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 69.8% 19.72 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 84.8% 17.48 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 84% 18.33 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 82.5% 19.91 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 79.7% 23.38 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 79.9% 23.17 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 43% 15.53 shares