No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $93.8
- Potential payout
- $111
- Potential profit
- $17.21
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Polymarket Trader
8FGH5
0xd4649c3c277f450b9270f4c2ee3d4c447b0ec985
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $194.2
- Realized PnL
- $18.17
- Win rate
- 81.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $60.84
- Potential payout
- $72
- Potential profit
- $11.16
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $39.56
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.43x
- User PnL
- $24.74
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.07
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.52
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Aurora position
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Infinex FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.38
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$7.55
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$16.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 95.7% 40 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo 86% 72 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 84% 111 shares
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 97.5% 53 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 90% 71 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 54% 151 shares
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 95.2% 53 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 87% 71 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 59% 151 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 17% 550 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 94.6% 56 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 88% 75 shares