Polymarket Trader

0xd466...17dd

0xd4662574a18edea35370b78d352cb83126d817dd

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $73.99
Realized PnL: $166.51
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $18.56
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $3.67
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$1.44

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $16.89
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $0.35
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.89

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.22
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.89

Yes position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $2.42
Potential payout: $8.79
Potential profit: $6.38
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $8.7
Potential profit: $8.64
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.63
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

FDA approves Arcalyst technology transfer?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $5.33
Potential profit: $2.72
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$1.39

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5.21
Potential payout: $5.21
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $5.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $4.37
Potential profit: $4.22
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$0.85

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.01
Potential payout: $4.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $1.47
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.02

Mbappe position

World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. Kane

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $2.19
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $1.26
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

US x China tariff agreement by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $3.17
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

FDA approves Arcutis' Zoryve cream?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $2.43
Potential payout: $2.9
Potential profit: $0.46
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $2.77
Potential profit: $2.75
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $2.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $0.88
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $1.37
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $1.08
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.21

Yes position

Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.49

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.41

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.56

Down position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.98

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.68

Yes position

Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.3

Up position

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.75

Down position

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.69

Up position

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.92

No position

Claude 4.8 released by May 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.07

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.03

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

No position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.38

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.87

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.55

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43

Down position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18

No position

Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

Up position

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in June?

No 99.7% 1 shares
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Yes 11.1% 18.02 shares
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Yes 99% 0.61 shares
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Yes 99% 1.85 shares
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Yes 81% 2.47 shares
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

No 58% 3.45 shares
US x China tariff agreement by July 31?

No 63% 3.17 shares
Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

No 99% 0.84 shares
Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

No 99% 0.84 shares
Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

No 90% 2.49 shares
Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

No 90% 2.49 shares
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?

Yes 73% 0.22 shares