0xd46e...a2ba

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$16.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $175
User PnL: -$15.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.92
Potential profit: $163.92
User PnL: -$14.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or below on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160.63
Potential profit: $160.63
User PnL: -$80.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.57
Potential profit: $158.57
User PnL: -$14.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.45
Potential profit: $152.45
User PnL: -$13.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or higher on June 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.45
Potential profit: $152.45
User PnL: -$13.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or below on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.92
Potential profit: $151.92
User PnL: -$75.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.67
Potential profit: $148.67
User PnL: -$13.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.67
Potential profit: $148.67
User PnL: -$13.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on May 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.67
Potential profit: $148.67
User PnL: -$13.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.67
Potential profit: $148.67
User PnL: -$13.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.67
Potential profit: $148.67
User PnL: -$13.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.67
Potential profit: $148.67
User PnL: -$13.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.67
Potential profit: $148.67
User PnL: -$13.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.07
Potential profit: $141.07
User PnL: -$12.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on May 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.44
Potential profit: $138.44
User PnL: -$12.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on May 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.19
Potential profit: $130.19
User PnL: -$65.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.19
Potential profit: $130.19
User PnL: -$11.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on May 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.09
Potential profit: $127.09
User PnL: -$11.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on May 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.09
Potential profit: $127.09
User PnL: -$63.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.09
Potential profit: $127.09
User PnL: -$11.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.84
Potential profit: $126.84
User PnL: -$11.53

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on May 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.05

Yes position

Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or below on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on May 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.64

Yes position

Will Seoul have between 120-130mm of precipitation in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69.75

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or below on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.06

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on May 23?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 66°F or higher on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on May 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on May 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C or higher on June 3?