No position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $570.23
- Potential payout
- $2.92K
- Potential profit
- $2.35K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$97.2
Polymarket Trader
sim0oon
0xd470ad4810b36764affc265be1f2ceb27e36ea38
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $645.93
- Realized PnL
- $655.62
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $84.5
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$18.5
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $59.77
- Potential payout
- $68.31
- Potential profit
- $8.54
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $7.17
Yes position
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.58
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$5.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225
Yes position
Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during Board of Peace events on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.99
Yes position
Will Trump say "Oil" 15+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.9
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29
Yes position
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.03
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-14?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.51
Yes position
Will Trump say "Venezuela" or "Military" during Panthers visit?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.96
Yes position
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.3
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during Board of Peace events on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
Yes position
Will Trump say "NATO" during Board of Peace events on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $6
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 3AM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Trump say "Drill" or "Drilling" during oil executive meetings on Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
Yes position
Will Trump say "Border" during oil executive meetings on Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Yes position
Will Trump say "Job" 5+ times during Panthers visit?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 55% 499.99 shares
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No 21% 11 shares
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No 23% 347.1 shares
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No 22.9% 1,720 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 77% 68.31 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 28.1% 100 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 21% 50 shares
- European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?Yes 14% 100 shares
- Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?Yes 99% 1 shares
- OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No 75.2% 100 shares
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No 19% 87.12 shares
- Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?Yes 54.4% 200 shares