Polymarket Trader

lyezzzzz

0xd478c387d3d134e245e9a9227f040e955909eb6e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $117.64
Realized PnL: $53.01
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $37.54
Potential payout: $113.58
Potential profit: $76.04
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $2.54

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.85
Potential payout: $51.28
Potential profit: $47.44
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$16.15

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $19.55
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $10.76
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $9.55

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $15.64
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $12.11
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $10.11
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $2.11

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $18.5
Potential profit: $18.19
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $5.27
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $12.91
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$4.73

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $6.69
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $4.15
Potential payout: $9.44
Potential profit: $5.29
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$0.85

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $8.96
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$4.7

Yes position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $6.83
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $7.25
Potential profit: $6.77
Multiplier: 15.15x
User PnL: -$4.52

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $5.21
Potential payout: $6.85
Potential profit: $1.64
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $1.39
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $0.93
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $0.62
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.2

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.39

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 62% 1.61 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 52% 1.92 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 42% 2.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Up 97% 1.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Up 97% 1.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Up 93% 1.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Up 1% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Down 81% 1.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Up 71% 7.04 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 72% 1.39 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 52% 1.92 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35.2% 71.02 shares