Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $2.8
- Potential payout
- $23.41
- Potential profit
- $20.62
- Multiplier
- 8.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Polymarket Trader
0xd47f...6532
0xd47f0ac03cde213d9a17d4d2917694eac4ce6532
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $33.5
- Realized PnL
- $203.54
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $10.79
- Multiplier
- 19.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $9.56
- Potential profit
- $5.21
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $5.83
- Potential payout
- $7.16
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.89
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the KS-03 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $6.21
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.84
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $4.59
- Potential profit
- $3.38
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $3.7
- Potential payout
- $4.23
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.7
N
No position
Will Trump say "Whale" in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $3.03
- Potential payout
- $4.07
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $3.16
- Potential profit
- $2.92
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $1.49
- Potential payout
- $2.22
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.22
- Potential payout
- $2.22
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $2.06
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.23
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 DR Congo?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.85
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.9
Argentina position
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.7
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
Ayla Aksu position
Figueira Da Foz: Alina Charaeva vs Ayla Aksu
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.08
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.01
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83
Over position
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
FALKE Esports position
LoL: FALKE Esports vs UB Alma Mater (BO3) - LES Regular Season
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
QoR position
Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Under position
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Team Falcons position
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
Under position
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98
Under position
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
KT Rolster position
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Whale" in July?No 86% 4.07 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 6?Up 79% 1.37 shares
- Spread: France (-1.5)France 60% 8.18 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 4?Yes 60% 5 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 4?No 40% 8.12 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 4?No 41% 8.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 3?Yes 45% 7.87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 3?Yes 62% 7.87 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No 81% 1.23 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?No 55% 3.53 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?Down 99.5% 1.01 shares
- World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?Yes 8.8% 11.36 shares