Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.57K
- Potential profit
- $6.57K
- User PnL
- -$2.77K
Polymarket Trader
Bigugo
0xd484ede187271850cae5bbe5c8e4b85239b28280
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $375.47
- Realized PnL
- $12.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$504
Yes position
Will Elon tweet between 480 and 509 times August 29–September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $688.26
- Potential profit
- $688.26
- User PnL
- -$7.05
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.6%
- Current value
- $90.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $309.8
- Multiplier
- 4.43x
- User PnL
- -$156.6
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $221.49
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $8.51
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $46.39
Yes position
Will Elon tweet between 240 and 259 times September 5–12?
Ends Sep 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123
- Potential profit
- $123
- User PnL
- -$34.44
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$9.9
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $44.88
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $3.12
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $21.36
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $18.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
No position
Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Will Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $889.84
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $859.23
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?
Ends Sep 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $689.15
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $532.8
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335.88
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.31
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.18
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.07
No position
Will Elon tweet between 390 and 419 times August 29–September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.85
Yes position
Fed rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.82
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.73
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.77
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.42
No position
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.36
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.04
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $40.3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.21
No position
Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes 9.9% 100 shares
- Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes 37% 918.12 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes 67% 237.15 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?Yes 63% 800 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 8% 375 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes 50% 500 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 26% 250 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 32% 950 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 13% 1,000 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes 23% 2,000 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No 60% 130 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No 77% 30 shares