Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.1%
- Current value
- $280.4
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $519.6
- Multiplier
- 2.85x
- User PnL
- -$119.6
Polymarket Trader
reward0404
0xd49829353a5e33f4d29bf976ac9be8bde744a6c5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $810.52
- Realized PnL
- $17.48
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $519.6
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $280.4
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $119.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.95
- Potential profit
- $38.95
- User PnL
- -$8.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.32
- Potential profit
- $25.32
- User PnL
- -$5.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20.4
- Potential profit
- $20.39
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $8.63
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $4.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.25
- Potential profit
- $10.25
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $9.99
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$1.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.01
- Potential payout
- $3.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.84
- Potential profit
- $2.83
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 1?Yes 31% 0.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 2?Yes 30% 0.74 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?Yes 37% 0.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 2?Yes 22% 0.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 3?Yes 27% 0.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?Yes 40% 35.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 1?Yes 22.1% 27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 3?Yes 24% 18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 2?Yes 24% 25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 2?Yes 14% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 1?No 53% 18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 3?No 61% 28 shares